เฉลิมฉลองเดือนแห่งประวัติศาสตร์สีดำเพื่อสร้างความตระหนักเกี่ยวกับการป้องกันการพนัน

ในขณะที่เราให้เกียรติประวัติศาสตร์ประเพณีและความก้าวหน้าของชาวอเมริกันผิวดำทุกคนในช่วง Black History Month เราต้องตระหนักถึงความท้าทายรวมถึงปัญหาการพนัน ปัญหาการพนันมีผลกระทบมากมายต่อชีวิตของแต่ละบุคคลซึ่งรวมถึง แต่ไม่ จำกัด เพียงผลกระทบทางเศรษฐกิจความสัมพันธ์จิตใจและร่างกาย ผลที่ตามมามีอยู่เช่นอัตราความวิตกกังวลอารมณ์และการใช้สารเสพติดที่สูงขึ้นตลอดจนความผิดปกติของบุคลิกภาพซึ่งพบในปัญหาขาวดำหรือ “ผู้เล่นทางพยาธิวิทยา” (ปัจจุบันจัดประเภทโดยสมาคมจิตแพทย์อเมริกันว่า ความแตกต่างในรูปแบบของความผิดปกติที่ก่อกวนระหว่างกลุ่มอาการ (กลุ่มที่แสดงอาการที่จัดอยู่ในประเภทความผิดปกติของการพนัน) และโดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งระดับ subsyndromal (ผู้ที่แสดงอาการบางอย่าง แต่ไม่เพียงพอที่จะวินิจฉัยว่าเป็นโรคการพนัน) และความผิดปกติของอารมณ์ภาวะ hypomania และ การเล่นของโรคที่เกี่ยวข้องกับสารเสพติดทั้งหมดในผู้ตอบแบบขาวดำระบุถึงความสำคัญของการพิจารณาปัจจัยที่เกี่ยวข้องกับเชื้อชาติในกลยุทธ์การป้องกันและรักษาสุขภาพจิต [1]. การตระหนักถึงความท้าทายที่ปัญหาการพนันก่อให้เกิดสังคมคนผิวดำเป็นสิ่งจำเป็นเพื่อป้องกันการติดการพนัน ปัญหาการเลือกปฏิบัติไม่เพียง แต่เป็นการแบ่งแยกเชื้อชาติชาติพันธุ์เศรษฐกิจสังคมหรือสถานะทางการศึกษาเท่านั้น แต่ยังส่งผลกระทบต่อชาวฟลอริเดียนทุกวัยตั้งแต่ผู้สูงอายุไปจนถึงคนหนุ่มสาว ในความเป็นจริงผลการศึกษาตัวแทนระดับประเทศจำนวนมากแสดงให้เห็นว่าชาวอเมริกันผิวดำมีสัดส่วนการพนันสองเท่า (2.2%) เมื่อเทียบกับคนอเมริกันผิวขาวและคะแนนต่ำกว่ามาตรการด้านสุขภาพทั่วไป [2]. นอกจากนี้ยังมีรายงานผลลัพธ์ที่คล้ายกันสำหรับวัยรุ่นผิวดำซึ่งมีแนวโน้มมากกว่าวัยรุ่นผิวขาวที่จะเข้าร่วมการพนันอย่างหนัก [3]. โดยรวมแล้วการเป็นเด็กผู้ชายและไม่ใช่คนผิวดำชาวสเปนมีความสัมพันธ์กับความผิดปกติของการพนันในอัตราสูงในข้อมูลการจำลองแบบการสำรวจโรค Comorbidity (NCS-R) ของสหรัฐอเมริกา [4]. นอกจากนี้ยังยืนยันถึงความจำเป็นในการตรวจสอบความแตกต่างทางชาติพันธุ์ระหว่างผู้เล่นเพิ่มเติมเพื่อแยกความแตกต่างระหว่างสาเหตุของการพนันและปัจจัยเสี่ยงอื่น ๆ ที่อาจทำให้เกิดกลุ่มชาติพันธุ์ต่างๆในการพัฒนาปัญหาการพนันในรูปแบบต่างๆ [5]. เพื่อสร้างความตระหนักถึงผลกระทบของการพนันในหมู่คนผิวดำในฟลอริดาและประชากรกลุ่มน้อยอื่น ๆ FCCG จึงดำเนินการตรวจสอบข้อมูล HelpLine เป็นประจำเพื่อพิจารณาว่าโปรแกรมและบริการตอบสนองความต้องการของประชากรที่หลากหลายของรัฐหรือไม่ ในปี 2019-2020 ข้อมูล 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine ชาวแอฟริกันอเมริกันเป็นตัวแทน 22% ของผู้เล่นที่เล่นปัญหาในปีที่ผ่านมา [6]. โดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งรายชื่อผู้ติดต่อของ Florida HelpLine ที่ผู้เล่นเป็นคนผิวดำ / แอฟริกันอเมริกัน 55% เป็นผู้ชายและ 45% เป็นผู้หญิง นอกจากนี้ใน 79% ของกรณีผู้เล่นได้ติดต่อโดยตรงและคนที่คุณรักคิดเป็น 21% ที่เหลือ ไฮไลท์เพิ่มเติมตามมา [7]. เหตุการณ์ที่พบบ่อยที่สุดสามเหตุการณ์ (เหตุผลหลัก) สำหรับการติดต่อของผู้เล่นและคนที่คุณรักล้มลง (N = 138) สมาชิกในครอบครัว / คู่สมรส / ผู้อยู่ร่วมกัน (N = 37) ความยากลำบากในการชำระค่าใช้จ่าย 18% – หนี้ที่มากเกินไป – – ปัญหาความสัมพันธ์ – 68% ความสูญเสียที่สำคัญ 34% 5% การอ้างอิง / ข้อมูลการรักษา 16% 16% หมายเหตุ: N หมายถึงจำนวนชายและหญิงทั้งหมดที่ตอบคำถาม ในบางกรณีคนที่คุณรักไม่ทราบปัญหาในเกมหลักของผู้เล่นหรือปัญหาที่ผู้เล่นกำลังประสบอยู่ ปัญหาการพนันหลัก 4 อันดับแรกตามเพศของผู้เล่นปัญหาการพนันหลักผู้ชาย (N = 91) ผู้หญิง (N = 77) เกมอาเขต / VLT / EGM – 13% เกมไพ่ / โต๊ะ 36% 17% เกมลอตเตอรี 16% 16% เกมออนไลน์ 13 % – สล็อตแมชชีน 24% 52% สุขภาพจิตปัญหาทางอารมณ์และในประเทศตามเพศของผู้เล่นสุขภาพจิตปัญหาทางอารมณ์และในบ้านชายหญิงวิตกกังวล (N = 78 / ชาย; N = 70 / หญิง) 56% 63% ภาวะซึมเศร้า (N = 73 / ชาย; N = 69 / หญิง) 44% 75% ความขัดแย้งในครอบครัว (N = 79 / ชาย; N = 71 / หญิง) 70% 61% ความผิดในครอบครัว (N = 78 / ชาย; N = 68 / หญิง) 67% 49% ความรุนแรงในครอบครัว (N = 70 / ชาย; N = 63 / หญิง) 1% 5% ข่าวดีก็คือคุณสามารถพบความช่วยเหลือและความหวังได้ผ่านสายด่วนช่วยเหลือ 888-ADMIT-IT ที่เป็นความลับและพูดได้หลายภาษาสำหรับทุกคนใน 888-ADMIT-IT ต้องการรวมถึงผู้ที่ได้รับผลกระทบจากคนที่คุณรัก นอกจากนี้ยังสามารถติดต่อสายด่วนได้โดยส่ง SMS ไปที่ 321-978-0555 แชทบน casinohelp.org ทางอีเมล fccg@gamblinghelp.org และข้อความบนโซเชียลมีเดีย เชื่อมต่อกับแหล่งข้อมูลที่สร้างความแตกต่างรวมถึงการอ้างอิงถึงนักบำบัดที่ผ่านการรับรอง! คุณสามารถทำอะไรได้บ้าง? การกระจายข่าวเกี่ยวกับ 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine สามารถให้ความช่วยเหลือแก่ผู้ที่ใกล้ชิดกับคุณมากที่สุดที่พวกเขาต้องการ March is Problem Gambling Awareness Month มีนาคมคือ Problem Gambling Awareness Month (PGAM) ซึ่งเป็นงานระดับรากหญ้าเพื่อสร้างความตระหนักถึงความผิดปกติของการพนันซึ่งจำแนกโดย American Psychiatric Association ว่าเป็นพฤติกรรมการเสพติดที่ส่งผลกระทบต่อชาว Floridians หลายล้านคนที่ต่อสู้กับปัญหาที่เกี่ยวข้องกับการพนันหรือเป็น ได้รับผลเสียจากปัญหาการพนันของคนที่คุณรัก ในปีนี้ธีมแคมเปญของเราคือส่องแสงให้กับปัญหาการพนัน: การเปลี่ยนเกม ในช่วงปีที่ผ่านมาโลกต้องต่อสู้กับผลกระทบจากการระบาดใหญ่ของ COVID-19 ชาวฟลอริดาเช่นเดียวกับชาวอเมริกันจำนวนมากกำลังดิ้นรนกับผลที่ไม่ได้ตั้งใจและสำหรับนักพนันที่มีปัญหาและครอบครัวของพวกเขาผลกระทบของไวรัสอาจทำให้รุนแรงขึ้นแล้วปัญหาทางเศรษฐกิจจิตใจกฎหมายและปัญหาอื่น ๆ ที่เกิดจากการพนัน คลิกที่นี่เพื่อเรียนรู้เพิ่มเติมเกี่ยวกับ PGAM และเข้าร่วมการเคลื่อนไหวเพื่อสร้างความตระหนักถึงปัญหาการพนันและความช่วยเหลือและความหวังผ่านเกมช่วยเหลือที่เป็นความลับและพูดได้หลายภาษาตลอด 24 ชั่วโมงทุกวัน!

[1] Barry, DT, Stefanovics, EA, Desai, RA และ Potenza, MN (2011) ความแตกต่างในความสัมพันธ์ระหว่างความรุนแรงของปัญหาการพนันและโรคจิตเวชในผู้ใหญ่ผิวดำและผิวขาว: ผลจากการศึกษาทางระบาดวิทยาระดับชาติเกี่ยวกับแอลกอฮอล์และสภาวะที่เกี่ยวข้อง วารสารอเมริกันเกี่ยวกับการเสพติด
[2] Alegria AA, Petry NM, Hasin DS, Liu SM, Grant BF, Blanco C (มีนาคม 2552) การเล่นที่ก่อกวนระหว่างกลุ่มเชื้อชาติและชาติพันธุ์ในสหรัฐอเมริกา: ผลจากการสำรวจทางระบาดวิทยาแห่งชาติเกี่ยวกับแอลกอฮอล์และสภาวะที่เกี่ยวข้อง, CNS Spectrums
[3] Barnes GM, Welte JW, Hoffman JH, Tidwell MO (2009) การพนันแอลกอฮอล์และสารอื่น ๆ ถูกใช้ในหมู่คนหนุ่มสาวในสหรัฐอเมริกา วารสารการศึกษาแอลกอฮอล์และยาเสพติด.
[4] Kessler RC, Hwang I, LaBrie R, Petukhova M, Sampson NA, Winters KC, Shaffer HJ (2008) การพนันทางพยาธิวิทยา DSM-IV ใน National Comorbidity Survey Replication ยาทางจิต.
[5] Caler, KR, Vargas Garcia, JR, & Nower, L (2017) ปัญหาการพนันของชนกลุ่มน้อย: ผลจากการศึกษาทางระบาดวิทยา นิตยสารเอเชียเกี่ยวกับปัญหาการพนันและสาธารณสุข
[6] รายงานประจำปี HelpLine การแก้ปัญหาตลอด 24 ชั่วโมง (ฉบับปี 2020) Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling, Inc.
[7] รวบรวมจาก FY 2019-2020 Florida Council on Compulsive Gambling 888-ADMIT-IT HelpLine data (2021) สภาฟลอริดาเกี่ยวกับการพนันเชิงบังคับ

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2021 Australian Open: What to Watch on Tuesday Night


Rod Laver Arena | 11 p.m. TuesdayAndrey Rublev vs. Daniil MedvedevAndrey Rubley and Daniil Medvedev secured the ATP Cup for Russia earlier this month, with neither player losing a singles match throughout. In their three meetings on the ATP Tour, Medvedev has come out on top each time, including in the quarterfinals of the U.S. Open in September.This may be Rublev’s chance to finally overcome his friendly rival. He has looked particularly dominant, not dropping a set throughout the tournament. His match against Casper Ruud ended after only two sets when the Norwegian withdrew with an injury. Going into the quarterfinals, Rublev has led the field in both percentage of first service points won and second service points won, a sign of how hard it has been for opponents to break his serve.Medvedev has also been playing well, aside from a chaotic, disorganized third round match against Filip Krajinovic. He has now won 18 matches in a row, with his last loss coming in October at a tournament in Vienna. Although the fast surface fits Medvedev’s flat baseline shots, Rublev’s open stance is well suited in defense, and we’re sure to see many dynamic, aggressive point.Rod Laver Arena | 3:30 a.m. WednesdayRafael Nadal vs. Stefanos TsitsipasRafael Nadal, the No. 2 seed, has moved smoothly through the first four rounds, no surprise for a player with 20 Grand Slam titles. Although Nadal won his only Australian Open title over a decade ago, he has reached the finals on four other occasions since, and is a clear favorite in his half of the draw to do so again. Nadal’s powerful topspin shots are well-suited to clay courts where he can drag opponents around with tightly angled shots. Nadal’s ability to exploit his opponent’s weaknesses with relentless pressure can break most players on their best days.Stefanos Tsitsipas, the ATP finals winner in 2019, is a study in unpredictability. The fifth seed has a capable all-court game, but lacks the consistency to execute match after match. The 22-year-old has worked to improve this aspect of his game, but needed five sets to push back unseeded Thanasi Kokkinakis in the second round. After receiving a walkover in the round of 16, Tsitsipas will be well rested and hoping for an advantage against one of the most mentally tough players on tour.

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Pros Of Being A Professional Poker Player


Being a professional poker player is a daring as well as exciting decision. If you’re successful at the game and want to quit your day job to become a poker pro, it’s an enticing opportunity. However, be warned: Poker strategies and rules are difficult to work, that isn’t for everyone. If you consider taking a risk to become a professional poker player, you should please ensure that it is an educated choice. 
Here are some pros of becoming a professional poker player that might encourage you to take the next step! 
Professionally Pursuing What You Love
One of the most prevalent desires in the world is to do something that you love professionally. For anyone in the poker community saying that there’s profit in this, they’re certainly not doing it only for the money. They love the game and have passion for it. For those who don’t have that, must understand that it is a skill game and requires practice to get better. This is what encourages them to put in the research time required to excel and achieve success through the downtrends.
Also Read: Advantages of Becoming a Professional at Poker
Self Determination And Versatility
Poker players set their own schedules which is a great thing for any professional in any field of work or sport. To stave off poker exhaustion and keep you going, getting this independence will go a long time away. Also, you’ll only be accessible to yourself. Versatility is something that is quite limited in a number of professions nowadays and there’s nothing quite like poker tournaments when it comes to versatility. That’s not to suggest, of course, that it’ll be straightforward. The assumption is that when you do so, no-one will be blowing down your neck.
Earning Big Money
There is still a lot of profit to be gained by playing online poker if you can achieve a high level of experience. In terms of rake and playing rewards, there have been a few improvements in the market in recent years that have limited online poker’s profitability, but it is still possible to obtain a decent income playing poker game. Getting in and getting out of micro stakes is one of the greatest obstacles facing emerging online pros these days. In present-day games, the high rake and low rakeback eat away at the winnings of a micro stakes player, making it difficult for them to achieve a good score overall.
On the other hand, live poker has been and is likely still a highly lucrative enterprise for professional players. The live player average is much lower than the online player estimate. This may be because, in casinos, live poker is practiced and thus encourages individuals who play poker to bargain instead of because they are successful at it. Or it could be because of live poker’s social aspect. It’s a mix of both, perhaps. 
For more interesting articles about poker or poker news, keep reading PokerShots! 

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Thousands of jobs available at tribal casinos


With millions of Americans out of work, the first sign of a recovery has to be in new jobs coming on the market. The tribal gaming industry is doing its part, with several operators posting new jobs in the past few weeks.Seneca Gaming Corporation has lots of jobs available at the Seneca Niagara Resort & Casino in Niagara Falls and Seneca Buffalo Creek Casino in downtown Buffalo. The operator will be hosting a job fair for open positions on February 25 between 10:00am and 6:00pm.“Even with the changes and challenges everyone has gone through over the past year, Seneca Gaming Corporation has remained one of the largest employers in Western New York, and we are excited to be growing our team across a variety of departments,” said Meghan Smith, Seneca Gaming Corporation’s vice president of human resources. “We truly believe that the time we spend at work should be rewarding, fulfilling and fun. That’s how we approach our jobs every day. If people are looking an opportunity in that type of environment, we are ready to talk to them.”Attendees can check out what’s on offer in person or virtually, but should be ready for an interview at a moment’s notice.On the other side of the country, the San Manuel Band of Mission Indians are also on the look out for fresh talent. That operator has more than 500 jobs to fill, with as many as 2000 coming for the rest of the year. They’ll be having their virtual career fair on February 18 from 9:00am to 4:00pm.“The expansion of San Manuel will offer an economic boost to the local job market at a time when it is really needed,” said Brigitte Saria, Chief People and Infrastructure Officer. “Our efforts to boost the local economy are guided by our commitment to ensuring our employment process and work environment follow leading health and safety standards.”The Chukchansi Gold Resort and Casino in Coarsegold, California are also hiring. The tribe is looking for 50 full-time and part-time positions, and will have a job fair on February 23 from 10:00am to 1:00pm.Add those jobs to the 150 that Oneida Nation Enterprises were offering as of last week, and there’s a lot to be hopeful for about the future of the economy, and particularly that of tribal gaming.Connecticut tribes close to new dealGovernor Ned Lamont wants sports betting in his state, and he needs a new deal with the tribes to get it done. He used his budget address to emphasize the push:“My administration has been in active negotiations with our tribal partners to bring the state’s gaming economy into the digital age. And I am submitting legislation which reflects what I believe to be the best bet in ending this stalemate of inaction in a way which is in the best interest [of] the entire state.”Construction resumes at Four WindsThe Pokagon Band of Potawatomi Indians’ contractor recently resumed building a hotel at Four Winds South Bend Casino. Construction slowed down significantly due to Covid-19.The new 23-story hotel was originally due to be completed this year. But with construction crews only working on the foundation now after a 10-month delay, maybe 2022 seems more accurate.

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WPT GTO Trainer Hands of the Week: Battling the Big Blind

February 16 2021
LearnWPT

With a 100 big blind effective stack, you open-raise to 3bbs in the Cutoff seat and get called by the player in the Big Blind.
This scenario shows a common spot where you are in position against a tough opponent in the Big Blind on the flop after you were the preflop aggressor.
Against a less-skilled opponent automatically c-betting a standard size is often the best play. These types of opponents are less likely to put pressure on your c-bets by making moves on the flop.

Against tougher players you’ll need to focus on board texture to determine the best continuation bet sizing and identify flops where checking behind will be the best play. Generally you can use smaller c-bet sizes on dry, static flops that don’t have many equity changing turn cards. For example, larger c-bet sizing is not required on a flop of rainbow.
On more coordinated boards that still favor you as the raiser, such as with a flush draw, you can use a larger c-bet sizing. Tough opponents will have robust check-raising ranges as part of their overall Big Blind Defense strategy, so be aware of not over folding hands with too much equity when your c-bet gets check-raised.
You will often be put to tough decisions with marginal hands, with the correct decision often coming down to understanding the effects of blockers. If you hold cards that interfere with your opponent’s ability to have strong hands, you should be more likely to call down in the hand. If your cards interfere with their ability to have bluffs, you should be more likely to fold.
For more GTO hand analysis, you can play through five solved random hands from this situation.
To access the free five hands, visit this page.
Regular play on the WPT GTO Trainer will help you adjust your decisions closer and closer to GTO strategy.
You don’t have to be the world’s best player to use GTO Strategy, and thanks to the WPT GTO Trainer, now you don’t have to buy expensive software or have expert level knowledge to study GTO.
Why use the WPT GTO Trainer?
The WPT GTO Trainer lets you play real solved hands against a perfect opponent in a wide variety of postflop scenarios for cash game and tournament play.
If your goal is to be a tough poker player then you should try the WPT GTO Trainer today.
Register a free account here (it only takes your e-mail address to begin) to play hands and see true GTO strategy in real-time.
The WPT GTO Trainer has over 4 billion unique solved flops, turns and rivers that are fully playable.
As you make decisions in a hand, you receive instant feedback on the specific EV loss (if any) and Played Percentage for every action you take as compared to GTO strategy.
The full selection of scenarios for the WPT GTO Trainer are only available to members of LearnWPT, however we’re giving PokerNews Readers free access to the Trainer on a regular basis with the WPT GTO Hands of The Week.
Use this series of articles to practice the strategies you learn on LearnWPT (or at the table) and test your progress by playing a five-hand sample each week.

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PUBG Mobile India: Everything players know about the gameplay changes so far



The past year has been quite a rollercoaster ride for Indian PUBG Mobile fans and players. In an unprecedented move, the game was suspended by the Government of India alongside 117 other applications.The move came in like a bolt from the blue and left everyone dismayed. Players had their fingers crossed for the title’s comeback in the country. They soon received a momentary respite as the Indian version of the game was announced by PUBG Corporation. Also read: PUBG ban: When were PUBG Mobile and PUBG Mobile Lite banned in India for the first time?Gameplay changes in PUBG Mobile IndiaAs per the press release by PUBG Corporation, the Indian version of the game will feature improved and customized in-game content tailored for Indian users to reflect the local needs. The changes will be incorporated to build a healthy gaming environment in the country.The Indian version of PUBG Mobile will be set in a virtual simulation training ground and will feature the following changes:

#1 – Green Hit effectIn the PUBG Mobile Indian version, the color of the hit effect will likely be locked to green, unlike the global version of the game, where the players have an option to customize the color of various effects.This is done to indicate the game’s virtual nature.#2 – Default character clothingAll the new characters in PUBG Mobile will automatically begin fully dressed. Gamers will be able to change their outfits but won’t be able to undress their characters like the global version.#3 – Feature to limit game timeOne of the fundamental changes is the feature that would restrict the game time. Though the global version of the game has some restrictions already in place, it is expected to be more stringent. This has been put in place to promote healthy gaming habits among the younger audience of the famous battle royale title.Players can follow the official social media handles of PUBG Mobile India to keep up with all the official announcements regarding the game:Instagram: Click hereFacebook: Click hereYouTube channel – Click hereDiscord: Click hereWebsite: Click here

Since then, there have been numerous updates in the form of teasers, a website, appointment of an operation team, and registering of PUBG India as a private limited company.Still, none of them have provided an exact release date. The replies to the RTIs, too, have made further revelations about the suspension of the title.Also read: “PUBG Mobile will return for sure, but the date is not clear yet”: Ocean shares update on game’s India comeback
Published 16 Feb 2021, 12:00 IST

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Did the next Macau bubble just start two weeks ago?


The entire concept of a “bull market in stocks” makes little sense. Sound crazy? These days, certainly, because we’re always hearing about a perpetual bull market in stocks. Valuations increasingly disconnected from economic reality, asset bubbles in one class or another, armies of speculators moving like zombie hoards descending on the next fad and blowing it up to infinity and beyond, Buzz Lightyear-like.Why is the whole concept of a bull market generally, nonsense? Because if the value of everything is going up simultaneously, then nothing is going up. If everyone is a superhero, nobody is. If, in an imaginary economy, absolutely everything costs, say, $5, (labor, land, capital whatever) and then the next day everything costs $10, then what’s changed? The answer is absolutely nothing.The only thing that matters is relative valuations between asset classes. Let’s divide them into three of the most basic ones. Equities (stocks), bonds (debt), and commodities (consumer goods). If all three are going up in tandem, then there is no “bull market” in anything. If commodities are going up faster than stocks and bonds, you have inflation, or even hyperinflation. Ask anyone in Venezuela whether they care that their stock market is doing great, nominally. They don’t. They’re looking for their next glop of gruel or morsel of moldy bread to survive the day.But if stocks and bonds are rising and consumer goods are static to falling, you have a bull market in financial assets. This is where we are now. And boy are we really hard and deep into it now. Below is the ratio of the S&P 500 to the CRB Commodities Index.And I’ve got news for everyone. This bull market in stocks relative to consumer goods in dollar terms is already over. It ended almost a year ago. On April 20, 2020 to be exact. Red circle blowoff top above. That was when oil crashed to negative $35 a barrel and we all lived in an alternative financial freakhouse universe. But I have more news than that. This entire “bull market” in stocks has been one gigantic illusion from the very beginning. Stocks aren’t going up. They haven’t gone up for 21 years. Money is going down. Here is the graph of stocks relative to the prime monetary commodity, gold, over the same timeframe above.We can see here that from 1990 to 2000, we had a real bull market in stocks. Equities rocketed in gold terms and in terms of consumer goods generally. Everyone felt richer. Portfolios up, expenses down. But since that time, money has been dying at an accelerated pace and the standard of living has fallen.The bull market in stocks over the last 21 years has been an illusion, a tiny echo of the bull that ended at the turn of the century. We have spent the last 21 years trying to reinflate it, but gold has exposed the lie. We are now at the point where the illusion is about to collapse completely. In my view, we have only a few months left until it all hits the fan. Until then, the bubbles will keep coming in staccato frenetic fashion, moving from one asset class to another faster and faster, until we all get so dizzy we can’t follow it anymore. Last week I speculated that maybe the next target for the zombie hoard will be in penny gaming stocks. I was close. It’s in Macau stocks. It may already have started two weeks ago. The frenzy has started over news about China opening up again. I mean, just look at this crazy chart of the Macau proxy ETF:That last surge higher is just since February 1. We could be at the beginning of a crazy but brief ride higher in Macau stocks right now. New all time highs again, and Macau isn’t even fully open yet. The latest full month statistics for December show a 78.6% drop in visitors year over year. And yet we’re at new all time highs in these stocks already. It’s just completely crazy. I can understand the Macau opening up again trade, but to argue that this factor is being priced in at these levels, at new all time highs? As if none of this full year shutdown hurt any of the casinos fundamentally at all? That’s just totally bonkers crazy. It’s a reflection of the value of the currency these stocks are priced in, not the stocks themselves.What’s happening is that the zombie hoard of bubble chasers is reading the headlines regarding China starting to open up again, and they’re slamming buy orders and call options like they’ve been doing with tech stocks and Gamestop and BTC and all the other fads. We just got news out of Bloomberg that China’s Imax had a face-ripping rally due to exploding ticket sales. China is, indeed opening up, and the zombie hoard of speculators is now going to spray their money hoses at anything Chinese. Macau might be at the center of it.How high can this Macau bubble go, if that’s what we just saw start two weeks ago? The truth is, it doesn’t matter. If you get into it, you’ll get hooked and keep levering yourself up, counting your paper gains, unable to separate from them until you get caught in a vortex. At some point, my view this year, it’s all going to come crashing down when all the damage from 2020 is finally revealed all over the world. You can’t paper it over forever. The damage to Macau casinos doesn’t just go away. It festers in the form of more and more debt, and a damaged consumer base that can no longer patronize casinos in the way it once could. Festering wounds need the paper bandage removed and they need to be operated on. That is painful. And it’s coming.When we think of the word “bubble”, what are we really talking about? A bubble is something that looks, from the outside, to be really big and stable. The shape of it, a sphere, is the most stable shape in the universe. It’s why planets, stars, moons, and possibly even the spacetime continuum itself, spontaneously shape themselves into spheres. The force of gravity equalizes at every point on the sphere, forming equilibrium. Nature always seeks equilibrium. And so bubbles take on the illusion of stability, but unlike a real sphere, there’s nothing inside them. When they pop, they are gone almost instantly. This one is about to pop. Macau appears to be the next victim sucked up by the bubble. Macau will survive and rebuild. The question is, in what form? I wouldn’t take a bet the depended on me getting the answer to that question right.

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Meet America’s 63rd National Park


As Americans continue to weather the pandemic, the $2.3 trillion coronavirus relief and spending bill passed by the federal government in December brought an unexpected and lasting gift: a new national park.The 5,593-page spending package included a raft of provisions authorizing little-known projects — the construction of the Teddy Roosevelt Presidential Library in North Dakota, for one — and giving lawmakers a chance to advance a variety of long-delayed initiatives. Among them was the elevation of the New River Gorge, in southern West Virginia, to the status of Yellowstone, Yosemite and the country’s other most renowned outdoor spaces. The designation of the area — roughly 72,000 acres of land flanking 53 miles of the gorge — as a national park and preserve creates the 63rd national park in the United States and completes a multigenerational effort, started in the mid-twentieth century, to transform a tired industrial area into a national landmark.“Towards the end of this year, with these big bills coming down, I decided to strike,” said Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican and the state’s junior senator, who, along with Senator Joe Manchin III, a Democrat, introduced the New River Gorge legislation in 2019.“This was the right opportunity,” she said.A draw for rafters, kayakers and other outdoor enthusiastsThe gorge and its surroundings have been prized for decades as one of southern West Virginia’s more spectacular natural places.In 1963, the West Virginia House of Delegates passed a resolution seeking to designate the New River Gorge as a “national playground,” preparing to send the proposal to President John F. Kennedy, whose primary campaign was lifted substantially through support from West Virginia voters. But momentum to create a national recreation area stalled after Mr. Kennedy’s assassination later that year.Though the gorge remained a curiosity among rafters and outdoor enthusiasts, the area only received federal protection from the Interior Department in 1978, when it was designated a national river.Now, the outdoor offerings in the gorge have come to define the area as a premier destination for adventure sports in the East.The New River plunges 750 feet over 66 miles, resulting in long stretches of violent rapids that can reach a class five level, generally considered the most difficult that can be navigated by white-water boaters. (Licensed outfitters operate in several towns near the river, providing rentals and tours for rafting and kayaking.)The canyon walls, which soar as high as 1,600 feet, offer miles of cliffs that rank among the best in the East Coast for rock climbing. Sheer faces in the gorge made of robust Nuttall sandstone provide both traditional and sport-climbing routes across the difficulty spectrum.Bike routes are scattered throughout the park on both sides of the river, with options for both technical mountain biking and more casual pedaling along former railroad beds.A glimpse back in timeAccording to the National Park Service, geologists believe the New River — its name a misnomer used by early American explorers who often assigned the same name to any river they came upon for the first time — was a segment of the preglacial Teays River. This larger river, which traversed much of the current Ohio River watershed, was later diverted and broken up by glaciers. The age of the Teays is uncertain, but fossil evidence suggests it could be as much as 320 million years old, leaving its remnant, the New River, as quite possibly the second oldest river in the world.Beyond the millions of years of geological history on display, the gorge is also filled with signs of the region’s heritage as a major coal production hub.Miners once capitalized on the easy access to rich deposits of high-quality bituminous coal in the canyon, where the river had already shorn through hundreds of feet of rock. Especially after the Chesapeake and Ohio Railway linked the New River coal fields to markets in 1873, dozens of boom towns popped up along the river’s edge, thriving well into the 1920s.In 1963, a coal mine was still operating in the gorge, said Dave Arnold, a state tourism commissioner who operated a rafting company for more than 40 years.“In ’76 or ’77, if you were in my boat, we’d have been floating down the river and I would have been showing you, ‘here’s an old coal tipple, here’s the old hotel at Caperton, here’s this and that,’” he said.The demand for coal around the turn of the twentieth century was so high that towns existed every half mile along up the river, according to the Park Service. As the industry went into decline, however, by the 1950s many were already abandoned, leaving ghost towns scattered throughout the gorge. Additionally, logging during the late nineteenth century stripped vast portions of the gorge bare, clearing enormous swaths of virgin forest.The park contains the remnants of communities such as Nuttallburg and Kaymoor, which still stand near the riverbank and are accessible from points higher up. Seams of exposed coal are visible along some trails leading into the gorge and its towns, where abandoned mine portals and the foundations of coke ovens remain.Restoring an ecosystem with diverse wildlifeDespite the environmental degradation and pollution that industry unleashed, some unique ecological features make the gorge well-suited to a diverse combination of wildlife, which has slowly reappeared as time has passed.The river lies at the center of a migration corridor where plants and animals that typically range further north or south come together, including several federally endangered and threatened species, such as the Virginia big-eared bat and the Allegheny woodrat.According to Lizzie Watts, the park’s superintendent, the river itself is also notably warmer than surrounding areas, making it a popular warm-water fishing destination with more than a dozen public access points. The river is one of the premier spots for smallmouth bass fishing on the east coast, and muskellunge and walleye are common in the park today.“The next generation will have the opportunity to see what, in the last 150 years, it looks like when an area goes from being logged and mined to left alone,” Ms. Watts said. “The ecosystem has come back to full trees and mature forests.”As federal protections took effect after the Park Service began overseeing the area as a national river in 1978, wildlife has largely recovered, and many see an opportunity to showcase the region’s natural elegance.“To show off our rock climbing, our extreme sports availabilities in that area, is just really exciting,” said Ms. Capito of what she described as a “kind of wild and wonderful part of our state.” ‘The cream of the crop’The National Park Service, created in 1916, oversees more than 400 areas across the country, including national monuments, seashores and battlefields as well as parks, which together total more than 85 million acres.While the new title for New River Gorge does not fundamentally alter the area’s day-to-day operations, both lawmakers and the Park Service tend to view “national parks” as the crown jewels of the park system — a protection granted to some of the largest and most prized tracts of the country.“National Park status is usually considered like the cream of the crop,” Ms. Watts said. “But it really is just another one of those names.”The New River Gorge does not match the scale of many national parks in the western United States, where Death Valley, the Grand Canyon and Yellowstone sprawl over more than 1 million acres each.Nevertheless, officials expect the new designation to bring a substantial influx of travelers, boosted in part by a dedicated set of enthusiasts who strive to visit every national park.In typical years, around 1.3 million travelers visit the gorge, according to the Park Service’s tourism data. Based on studies of other areas that received national park status, Ms. Capito said she expects to see visitors increase by as much as 20 percent.“It does feel like the very beginning stages of transformation for the whole area,” said Becky Sullivan, the executive director of the New River Gorge Convention and Visitors Bureau. “I’ll be very, very interested to see where we are in about 10 years.”Maintaining the community and its favored pastimesAs unique outdoor attractions throughout the Appalachian region have gained more national visibility, some concern has grown over the idea of a wealthy and mobile set from out of state trampling the communities adjacent to these places.West Virginia remains the second-poorest state in the country in terms of median household income, according to data collected by the United States Census Bureau. And while tourism has brought a needed injection of wealth to areas all around the gorge, it has also changed the makeup of neighboring communities, as more people have come to visit the park or settle down near it.Interest in the natural offerings around the park has brought slow but measurable change for small towns nearby like Fayetteville. Officials say that the advent of remote work during the pandemic has only hastened a trend of properties in the area being repurposed for vacation rentals and outsiders snapping up second homes.“You cannot find a house for sale in Fayetteville, because they’re just in such high demand,” said Sharon Cruikshank, the town’s mayor. “So that definitely changed the budgeting of the town as well as the county.”When legislation was first introduced to designate the area as a national park, pushback came from some locals. Hunters have long enjoyed access to secluded sections of woods around the gorge, and with hunting prohibited in federal parks, some protested the potential loss of thousands of acres of hunting grounds.In a compromise, more than 65,000 acres of the total area were designated as a nature preserve where hunting can continue as before, and only roughly 7,000 acres directly within the canyon are officially off limits as national parkland. A provision was included to empower the park to acquire more than 3,000 acres of private land around its current boundaries as well, to expand the size of the preserve and add public hunting grounds.In a nod to tradition, the legislation also enshrines the right for visitors to continue to make use of one of the park’s most famous features — the New River Gorge Bridge — at least once a year.BASE jumping, an extreme sport in which jumpers parachute from elevated structures or cliffs, is banned in every other national park.But, since 1980, BASE jumpers have been permitted to plunge from the top of the 876-foot-high bridge and parachute down toward the river once a year, on Bridge Day, held one Saturday in October. The legislation designating the area as a national park allows that tradition to continue.As many as 100,000 people typically come to watch the jumpers plunge, according to Ms. Sullivan, providing a major boost for businesses in the region. The event has only been canceled twice, including last year because of the coronavirus.Bridge Day’s organizers advise jumpers that the only dependable way to touch down safely is to plan to land directly in the river. In normal years, hundreds do so, often multiple times that day, gliding down and softly hitting the New River’s waters.

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Root: Pitch not to blame for England defeat


England captain Joe Root says team “outplayed” by India on tough surface as they lose second Test by 317 runs; skipper feels his men can learn from the way the hosts found control with the ball and batted calmly; third Test in Ahmedabad from February 24

Last Updated: 16/02/21 10:01am

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England captain Joe Root says his squad must not get too down about their heavy defeat in the second Test against India.

England captain Joe Root says his squad must not get too down about their heavy defeat in the second Test against India.

Joe Root refused to blame the spin-friendly Chennai pitch for England’s thumping defeat to India in the second Test – and has urged his side to learn from the difficult conditions they faced.
England were spun out for 134 and 164 at MA Chidambaram Stadium on a dusty surface as India wrapped up a 317-run victory on day four to level the four-match series at 1-1.Rohit Sharma and Ravichandran Ashwin completed hundreds for India and Root says the hosts showed England a template for scoring runs on unhelpful tracks for batsmen. Root says his side must learn from the challenging conditions they faced in Chennai (Pic credit – BCCI) “I wouldn’t say it was a good pitch but it made for very exciting cricket and it was not the reason we lost the game. We were outplayed in all three departments,” said the England skipper.”For us, it’s a bit of an education. It was a surface that spun a huge amount and bounced more than we anticipated but we should take that as a learning and be better for it the next time we experience conditions that are similar.”The toss was an important one to win – but it wouldn’t have guaranteed us a win either. India showed you can score runs and found a way of managing a very tricky surface.”Our batters need to learn from how India rotated strike, while what I took from how they played was how calm and unflustered they were. When a delivery really misbehaved, they didn’t waver from their game-plan.” Ravichandran Ashwin (pictured) and Rohit Sharma scored centuries for India in the second Test (Pic credit – BCCI) Root – whose side will be looking to bounce back in the day-night third Test in Ahmedabad from February 24 with their six-match winning streak in overseas Tests having been snapped – also felt his bowlers could have been more frugal on day one when India reached 300-6 after electing to bat.”We have to find ways of building pressure for long periods of time with the ball, bowling six balls at one batter, which India made very difficult for us.”Can we string maidens together and force wickets through very disciplined passages of play? I think India did that better than us.”On day one we could probably have been a bit tighter and squeezed the game, making it hard for them to score freely. The four-match Test series is tied at 1-1 heading into the third Test, a day-night fixture in Ahmedabad from February 24 “We have to learn from the opposition, who played very well, but we are 1-1 in the series and there are two very important games to come.”We are very excited about that because of how well we played in the first game. We are very much in this series. It’s set up very nicely.”We have to stay level. We don’t get above our station when we win and it’s not all doom and gloom when we have tough weeks.”It is very important we stay level as a team. We have to learn but that is one thing we have done well in recent times so hopefully we can take that into the rest of the series.” 0:52 Root says he understands Moeen Ali’s decision to leave England’s bio-secure bubble and return home to his family Root says he understands Moeen Ali’s decision to leave England’s bio-secure bubble and return home to his family Root – who also confirmed that all-rounder Moeen Ali will miss the rest of the series having opted to fly home – said Ben Stokes only bowled two overs in the game for tactical reasons, not due to injury.”Ben is fit and able to bowl but, on that surface, you look at the overs of seam bowled and it was minimal,” said Root.”I’m sure Ben will have an impact on this series with the ball as he did in the first game. He can grab big moments and turn them on their head.”Pressed on whether he wanted to include the rested James Anderson, who had starred with a scintillating spell of reverse-swing bowling on day five of the first Test, Root added: “It was discussed. “But we need to look at the series as a whole. The pink-ball game looks an exciting opportunity for someone like him to have a real impact.”Follow text commentary of the day-night third Test between India and England in Ahmedabad on skysports.com and the Sky Sports app from 8.30am on Wednesday, February 24.

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อินเดียชนะ 3 ครั้งในอาหารกลางวันในวันที่ 4 ของการทดลอง 2 กับสหราชอาณาจักร


อินเดียเข้าใกล้ซีรีส์เพื่อชัยชนะที่ Chepauk โดยเก็บได้ 4 นัดในเซสชั่นแรกของวันที่ 4 ของการทดสอบครั้งที่สองกับอังกฤษเมื่อลอว์เรนซ์และโจรูตออกมาพร้อมกับอังกฤษที่ต้องการมากกว่า 400 รันเพื่อชนะการแข่งขันทดสอบ การแข่งขันครั้งก่อนไม่นานเมื่อการแสดงที่เป็นตัวเอกของ Rishabh Pant ในการแข่งขันโบว์ลิ่งของ Ravichandran Ashwin ทำให้เขาผิดหวัง หลังจากนั้นรูทก็มีเบ็นสโตกส์ให้กับ บริษัท นักหวดชาวอังกฤษผู้มีพลังทั้งหมดถูกทุบตีหลายต่อหลายครั้งและการตีครั้งเดียวของเขา – การกวาด – ไม่ทำให้เขาเป็นเส้นใน 51 ลูกที่เขาเผชิญ ในท้ายที่สุดเขาถูกไล่ออกโดย Ashwin เพียงแปดครั้งทำให้แขกจ้องมองไปที่กล่อง โอกาสง่ายๆที่จุดกลับตัว อย่างไรก็ตาม Kuldeep พบความก้าวหน้าในการเยี่ยมครั้งต่อไปของเขา นาฬิกาข้อมือทางด้านซ้ายมือทำให้ Ben Foakes ติดขาของเขาหลังรับประทานอาหารกลางวันและเห็นหนังศีรษะของเขาโล่งใจอย่างเห็นได้ชัด เขาถูกวางไว้ที่ 116/7 ในมื้อกลางวันในวันที่ 4 โดยรูทขับเคี่ยวในการต่อสู้คนเดียวโดยมี 33 ลูกจาก 90 ลูก อินเดียน่าจะจบสิ่งต่างๆได้ในเซสชั่นที่สอง Ashwin จะจับตาดูการแข่งขัน 10 ลูก สนามที่สร้างขึ้นและความแม่นยำที่น่าทึ่งของพิชเชอร์อินเดียการทดสอบนี้ไม่น่าจะถูกลากเข้าสู่เซสชั่นสุดท้ายในวันที่ 4 Moeen Ali, Olly Stone และ Stuart Broad เป็นสามมือนักแร็กเกตอังกฤษคนเดียวที่เหลืออยู่ จนถึงตอนนี้ประตูจะพิจารณาตีหัวที่สองอีกครั้งและบันทึกการแข่งขันครั้งที่ 8 ด้วย 10 ประตูในการทดสอบคริกเก็ต ถ้าเขาทำเขาจะกลายเป็นนักคริกเก็ตชาวอินเดียคนแรกและคนที่ห้า (รองจาก Shakib Al Hasan, Imran Khan, Ian Botham และ Alan Davidson) ที่จะบรรลุความสำเร็จนี้ เผยแพร่เมื่อ 16 กุมภาพันธ์ 2021, 11:43 IST.

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